by Hiram Jackson
Introduction
Davis has followed a policy of restrictive growth since 2000 when Measure J passed, which allowed city voters to approve of new projects on the margins of the city. Since then, Breton Woods, designed for older (55+ years) residents, and the Nishi project, designed for UC Davis students, both passed in 2018.
Apart from that, every other proposed project, which notably would have been available for younger adults less than age 54, has been rejected. This quarter century drought on peripheral developments for younger adults has consequences in our current demographic makeup.
City of Davis census data show a local declining young adult population
From 2000 to 2020 U.S. Census data show that Davis grew from about 60,000 to 66,000, an annualized growth rate of about 0.5%. Within that time the population of 20- to 29-year-olds, which includes mostly UC Davis students, grew by about 2500. The population of Davis adults aged 50 and older grew by 8,000, reflecting good health and the desirability of our community. Meanwhile, the number of young adults aged 30 to 49 has shrunk by 2,000 during the same period (See Census chart).

This last age cohort, specifically, includes parents who are likely to enroll students in the local public schools. Based on the 2020 U.S. census, the 30 to 49 age cohort is proportionally larger, statewide and nationally, than either the Baby Boomer or older Gen X population, demonstrating that the Davis decrease is anomalous in not accommodating this age cohort.
(more…)




